DL 1001 · SEA → SNA

departs 10:11 AM PT · arrives 1:03 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at SEA that day

↑ 10am departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1001 · SEA → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?