Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
DL 1196 · RSW → ATL
departs 3:41 PM ET · arrives 5:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 13%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.