DL 1302 · ATL → MCO

departs 9:38 PM ET · arrives 11:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ 9pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.10 in

MCO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1302 · ATL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?