DL 1327 · PDX → DTW

took off 12:22 PM PT · expected to land 7:05 PM ET (scheduled 11:59 AM PT → 7:12 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DTW?

LIVE

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ 11am departures from PDX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1327 · PDX → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?