Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
DL 1462 · RIC → ATL
departs 10:19 AM ET · arrives 11:58 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
RIC is prone to delays
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
RIC (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.4 mi
Precip 0.03 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.99 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.