Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 146 DEPARTURE NOT REPORTED YET (THE FAA SEES FLIGHTS FROM ABROAD ONCE THEY NEAR US AIRSPACE)

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

DL 146 · SCL → ATL

departs 8:41 PM -03 · arrives 5:14 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

80% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SCL

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SCL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 146 · SCL → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?