DL 1562 · ATL → MCO

departs 12:04 AM ET · arrives 1:34 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at ATL that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.14 in

MCO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1562 · ATL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?