Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2049
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
DL 2049 · MCO → JFK
departs 11:05 AM ET · arrives 1:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
11am departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.