Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2408
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
DL 2408 · FAI → SEA
departs 1:35 AM AKT · arrives 6:16 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 15%
Fri 10/9 18%
Sat 10/10 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.2d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave FAI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1am departures from FAI are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SEA that day
Weather at each end
FAI (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.