Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2410
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
DL 2410 · LGA → PBI
departs 7:29 PM ET · arrives 10:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±6 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
7pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 6,333 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PBI (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.