Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2990
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
DL 2990 · ATL → JAX
departs 1:57 PM ET · arrives 3:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 12%
Thu 10/8 13%
Fri 10/9 17%
Sat 10/10 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±7 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↑
Other factors
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.10 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.97 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.