DL 3081 · ATL → JAN

departs 1:59 PM ET · arrives 2:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at ATL that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.17 in

JAN (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3081 · ATL → JAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAN?