Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3092
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
DL 3092 · VPS → ATL
departs 1:28 PM CT · arrives 3:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 1.58 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.