DL 3135 · ATL → TPA

departs 7:58 PM ET · arrives 9:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.21 in

TPA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3135 · ATL → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?