Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3164
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
DL 3164 · BHM → ATL
departs 10:42 AM CT · arrives 12:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 6%
Fri 10/9 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
BHM is prone to delays
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BHM (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.