DL 69 · SEA → TPE

took off 4:05 PM PT · expected to land 7:16 PM CST (scheduled 3:53 PM PT → 7:35 PM CST)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TPE?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at SEA that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into TPE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

TPE (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 69 · SEA → TPE

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPE?