DL 750 · SFO → ATL

departs 4:10 PM PT · arrives 11:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at ATL that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 750 · SFO → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?