Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

EMIRATES · FLIGHT EK 204 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:38 AM ET, ETA 7:20 AM +04) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

EK 204 · JFK → DXB

took off 11:38 AM ET · expected to land 7:20 AM +04 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at DXB more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

DXB (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EK 204 · JFK → DXB

Odds over time