EK 216 · LAX → DXB

took off 5:09 PM PT · expected to land 6:40 PM +04 (scheduled 4:52 PM PT → 7:25 PM +04)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DXB more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DXB?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DXB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DXB (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EK 216 · LAX → DXB

Odds over time

How late will it get to DXB?