Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

EMIRATES · FLIGHT EK 220 IN THE AIR (OFF 9:13 PM ET, ETA 6:11 PM +04) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

EK 220 · MCO → DXB

took off 9:13 PM ET · expected to land 6:11 PM +04 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DXB more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 9pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into DXB at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DXB (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EK 220 · MCO → DXB

Odds over time