Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1157
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
F9 1157 · EWR → ATL
departs 10:29 PM ET · arrives 12:52 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 32%
Fri 10/9 41%
Sat 10/10 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.