Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1417
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
F9 1417 · MCO → IAH
departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 8:45 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 9%
Fri 10/9 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
MCO is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.63 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.