Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1785
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
F9 1785 · RDU → MCO
departs 7:32 PM ET · arrives 9:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±11 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.