Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2072
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
F9 2072 · RDU → PHL
departs 7:46 PM ET · arrives 9:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at RDU that day
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.