Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2408
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
F9 2408 · SEA → LAS
departs 8:53 PM PT · arrives 11:34 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 20%
Fri 10/9 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
8pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.