Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2769
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
F9 2769 · BDL → MCO
departs 12:27 PM ET · arrives 3:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Mon 10/5
Thu 10/8 25%
Fri 10/9 20%
Sat 10/10 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BDL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.