Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3072
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
F9 3072 · ATL → ORF
departs 9:28 AM ET · arrives 11:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 13%
Thu 10/8 15%
Fri 10/9 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at ORF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORF?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.33333 mi forecast at ORF that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into ORF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.48 in
ORF (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.