Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4797
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
F9 4797 · RDU → ATL
departs 6:15 AM ET · arrives 8:08 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 9%
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at RDU that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.02 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.