Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1051
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 1051 · ICT → PIE
departs 7:39 PM CT · arrives 11:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ICT
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.