Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1194
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 1194 · EYW → SFB
departs 3:27 PM ET · arrives 4:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.