G4 1198 · EYW → SFB

departs 9:24 AM ET · arrives 10:48 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFB?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

EYW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1198 · EYW → SFB

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFB?