Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1206
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 1206 · AVL → SFB
departs 10:03 PM ET · arrives 11:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SFB that day
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AVL that day
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.