Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1219
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 1219 · ELM → SFB
departs 1:58 PM ET · arrives 4:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ELM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↓
ELM usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ELM (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.1 mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.