Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1465
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
G4 1465 · LEX → VPS
departs 5:01 PM ET · arrives 5:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
VPS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.