Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1475
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 1475 · LEX → SFB
departs 11:29 AM ET · arrives 1:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SFB that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.