G4 1708 · SCK → PHX

departs 9:15 AM PT · arrives 11:12 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SCK

Weather at each end

SCK (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1708 · SCK → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?