Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1715 LANDED 1:01 AM PT, ~1 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

G4 1715 · FAT → LAS

took off 12:17 AM PT · landed 1:01 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

FAT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1715 · FAT → LAS

Odds over time