Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1786
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 1786 · SFB → ABE
departs 12:13 PM ET · arrives 2:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ABE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABE?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from SFB are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SFB that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into ABE at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.41 in
ABE (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 5,467 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.