Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1856
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 1856 · PGD → AVL
departs 11:39 AM ET · arrives 1:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AVL that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into AVL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.08 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.3 mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.