Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1986
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 1986 · SFB → CVG
departs 6:02 PM ET · arrives 8:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.41 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.