Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2031
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 2031 · SRQ → CVG
departs 12:03 PM ET · arrives 2:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ
↑
12pm departures from SRQ are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.