Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2232 LANDED 2:22 PM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

G4 2232 · FLL → IND

took off 12:05 PM ET · landed 2:22 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ 12pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2232 · FLL → IND

Odds over time