Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2245
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 2245 · PGD → IND
departs 3:36 PM ET · arrives 6:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from PGD are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.