G4 234 · BOS → AVL

departs 10:03 AM ET · arrives 12:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from BOS are often late

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,450 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AVL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 234 · BOS → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?