Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2471
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 2471 · PGD → SGF
departs 5:38 PM ET · arrives 7:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.