Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2490
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 2490 · PGD → USA
departs 12:11 PM ET · arrives 2:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at USA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at USA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at USA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to USA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD
↑
Arrivals into USA at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
USA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
USA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.