Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 254 · PIE → AVL
departs 9:30 PM ET · arrives 11:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from PIE are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.