Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 263
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 263 · AVL → PIE
departs 7:00 PM ET · arrives 8:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AVL that day
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.01 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.