Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2716
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 2716 · MDT → PIE
departs 9:08 PM ET · arrives 11:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↓
Cloud base down to 1,233 ft forecast at MDT that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDT (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,767 ft Visibility 6.33333 mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.