Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2825
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 2825 · SFB → CHA
departs 7:16 PM ET · arrives 8:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Mon 10/5
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at CHA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to CHA?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.44 in
CHA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.